Archive for January 17th, 2009

AFC Championship Pick

Saturday, January 17th, 2009

The line for the game is Pittsburgh by 6 with an over and under of 33.5.  I have been betting Pittsburgh and Baltimore all year long. Both teams are great at covering spreads. FJA loves both teams and needs to decide on one.

Questions to answer:

1. Will Joe Flacco get away with mistakes he made against Tennessee? (If so, they should call him Shane Falco)
2. Can Baltimore run the ball effectively against the Steeler D?
3. Can the Steelers score more than 21 points?

Big Ben will outplay Flacco due to experience. I don’t think Pitt will give up many yards on the ground and will force Flacco to beat them. Pittsburgh should be able to move the ball against Baltimore unlike the regular season.

Prediction:  Pittsburgh will avenge its lost to Baltimore and head to the Super Bowl. I also believe they will be able to cover the 6.  The Pitt D will turn Joe Flacco into Shane Falco… Give them a few INTs and may even return one for a TD. With over and under at 33.5, I think these two teams can combine for 5 TDs. Final score will be Pitt 24 and Baltimore 14. They will bearly cover.

Pick:  Pitt giving 6 and Over.

NFC Championship Pick

Saturday, January 17th, 2009

The line is Philly -3.5 and Over/Under is 47 (or near 7 Touchdowns).

As much as I dislike the Eagles and betting with or against them, I would have to say they will win this game and go to the Super Bowl. The Cardinal win at Charlotte was a fluke. I don’t think they can light up Jim Johnson’s defense. Cards are weak without Boldin. I do think it will be a high scoring game which means 7 touchdowns should be a cakewalk. I like the over more than the game itself as I really don’t want to bet with or against the Eagles.

So … here are the picks:  OVER and PHI to cover the 3.5.